Whether the four-year crypto cycle still holds true in 2025

In early February 2025, the crypto market plunged into crisis as BTC’s price plummeted from $105,000 to $92,000, causing many altcoins to hit their all-time lows (ATL). According to data from CoinGlass, this was the largest single-day liquidation event in history, with over $2.3 billion wiped out.

The crypto market’s four-year cycle often mirrors a traditional economic cycle, consisting of three years of growth followed by one year of correction. Theoretically, for a new cycle to begin, a strong catalyst is needed to drive liquidity. However, the market crash occurred despite a series of positive developments—such as the new U.S. administration’s pro-crypto stance, the Bitcoin Halving event, and ETF approvals—delivering a heavy blow to investor confidence.

This has led many to question whether the four-year crypto cycle still holds true.

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  • :fire: Is this the end of crypto’s legendary 4-year cycle? Drop your thoughts below! :point_down:
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The rising supply of altcoins dilutes investor capital, increases selling pressure, and weakens BTC dominance. Many new tokens lack strong fundamentals, reducing market confidence. Excess supply fuels volatility, deters institutional adoption, and spreads liquidity thin—making crypto more vulnerable to downturns.